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Photovoltaic industry or ushered in rush to install tide
Time:2018-4-3 10:03:11      Click times:1614

On November 9th, the National Energy Administration held a press conference at the APEC News Center to elaborate on related energy strategies and goals that have been formulated to achieve the next “energy revolution”. Specifically, by 2020, China will control the total primary energy consumption at about 4.8 billion tons of standard coal, the total coal consumption will be controlled at about 4.2 billion tons, the proportion of coal electricity consumption will be reduced to less than 62%, and the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption will reach 15%, of which 200 million kilowatts of wind power capacity and 100 million kilowatts of photovoltaic capacity will be built by 2020. At present, China's coal consumption accounts for 65.7% of primary energy consumption, and non-fossil energy consumption accounts for 9.8% of primary energy consumption.

The other is from a higher level. On November 12, China and the United States issued the "Joint Statement on Climate Change and Clean Energy Cooperation" and announced China's climate change action after 2020. This is the first time that China has formally proposed that the peak of greenhouse gas emissions will come around 2030, and proposes that the proportion of non-fossil energy in primary energy consumption will increase from 15% in 2020 to about 20% in 2030.

One is the goal of 2020, and the other is the goal of 2030. The development of energy consumption in China in the next 20 years has specific quantitative targets.

The proposed joint statement reaffirmed the key position of energy transformation in the national strategy. In 2013, China accounted for 10% of non-fossil energy, wind+light+nuclear power accounted for 4.6%, while non-fossil energy in Germany accounted for 17%, and wind+light+nuclear power accounted for 28%. The benefits of wind power, photovoltaics and nuclear power are reflected in two aspects: First, new energy operators will benefit from the launch of domestic and global carbon emissions trading markets. It is expected that the policy of renewable energy quota will be introduced at the end of this year or early next year, and the domestic carbon emissions trading market will be launched later to provide new energy operators with incremental revenue and directly increase net profit; secondly, new domestic wind power and photovoltaics will be added next year. The installed capacity may exceed expectations.

According to industry insiders, it is expected that the newly installed capacity of wind power and photovoltaics in China will be 19 to 20 and 10 to 13 GW respectively in 2014. With further policy support and potential subsidy cuts in the second half of next year, the wind power and photovoltaic industries are expected to usher in a new round of Assembling surge, it is expected that the installed capacity is expected to reach 22-25 and 14-17GW, respectively, an increase of 20% and 35% year-on-year.

Coal and other traditional energy sources have relatively large air pollution. According to the emissions per ton of standard coal, 2.6 tons of carbon dioxide, 0.028 tons of sulfur dioxide, 0.007 tons of nitrogen oxides, and 0.5 g/d of smoke emissions, the coal consumption per kWh is estimated. At 333 grams, this means that for every 3,000 kilowatts of electricity generated by a distributed photovoltaic system, 2.6 tons of carbon dioxide and other sulfides can be reduced.

China's photovoltaic companies have been actively deploying distributed photovoltaics this year, hoping to bring clean energy into millions of households. The vigorous promotion of rooftop distributed photovoltaic systems will reduce the use of traditional energy sources, improve haze weather, and make “APEC Blue” a normal state.

According to the current energy plan that the country has already completed, China's non-fossil fuels will account for 11.4% of primary energy consumption in 2015, and by 15% by 2020, superimposed this declaration target, it can be said that the national short-term, medium-term, long-term The goal of cleaner energy consumption is becoming clearer.

From the perspective of fulfilling the promised goals, “the development of hydropower resources has reached the limit by 2030, and the annual increase of nuclear power by 7.2 GW has also reached a relatively high level. Therefore, only wind power with more space for resource endowments and more secure safety is needed. Solar energy can effectively make up for this shortfall. Therefore, if the wind power and photovoltaic installation growth rate from 2020 to 2030 is appropriately increased to 25GW per year, the gap will be reduced to zero and the emission reduction target in 2030 will basically be realized."


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